Title
Consider and take action to adopt a population estimate of 106,803, as of January 1, 2019, for use in all city-related business in calendar year 2019 (Director of Planning and Development)
Background:
Approval of this item will allow the City to adopt the population estimate for January 1, 2019 of 106,803 to use in all city-related business in calendar year 2018.
Annual population estimates are important in assisting the City in planning for investments and services. There are a number of organizations that produce annual population estimates for cities and counties including the United States Census Bureau, Texas State Data Center, and ESRI. The Planning Department monitors these estimates and has used them in the past for a number of planning purposes. However, to have more timely information (as many of these estimates are published a year later), the Planning Department prepares the City’s own estimates based on new housing starts data, obtained from the Building Department. During 2018, the City issued 671 building permits for new single-family dwellings. Population estimates based on this methodology have been historically consistent with Census Bureau population estimates for League City.
Previous Population Estimates
Year Decennial US Census Population Estimate
1962 5,000
1970 10,818
1980 16,578
1990 30,159
2000 45,444
2010 83,560
2011 85,026
2012 87,260
2013 89,257
2014 92,714
2015 96,209
2016 100,053
2017 102,634
2018 104,857
2019 106,803
These estimates were developed by the Planning Department and are based on new housing starts data obtained from the Building Department. All estimates are for January 1, 2019.
Assumptions
2.93 Average household size of an owner-occupied housing unit
1.1% Vacancy rate for owner occupied housing units
96% Occupancy rate for multi-family units (League City 2013 Occupancy Study)
Sources: US 2010 Census, Demographic Profile & City of League City, 2016, American Community Survey 2012-2016
Attachments:
1. Data Sheet
CONTRACT ORIGINATION:
Planning and Development
FUNDING
{ } Funds are available from Account #________
{ } Requires Budget Amendment to transfer from Account #______ to Account #______
{ x } NOT APPLICABLE
STRATEGIC PLANNING
{ } Addresses Strategic Planning Critical Success Factor # ______ and Initiative # ______
{ x } NOT APPLICABLE